Conditional vs Marginal WAIC paper

I found the invited talk from Sophia Rabe-Hesketh and Daniel Furr (U California, Berkely) “Predictive information criteria in hierarchical Bayesian models for clustered data” extremely interesting. I was wondering if anyone had a link to an early paper, notebook, or even the slides of the presentation.

Many thanks!


All of the StanCon talks and notebooks should be posted in a few weeks on the web site.

Updating this thread with the link to where the materials in question can now be found:

By the way some of the 2018 links listed on are wrong and can be fixed easily, e.g.

Should be

@ermeel Thanks for letting us know. I’ll double check and fix them.

Should be fixed:

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