Von Mises data with a shift at every cycle

Sorry for not getting to you earlier, your question is well written and relevant. Did you manage to move forward in any way in the meantime?

Generally circular parameters (i.e. mu in your case) can easily cause problems. There was an interesting discussion recently showing how one can work with circular data without explicitly circular parameters: Results from playing with periodic models so maybe that can help… (I admit I don’t understand the method fully).

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