Yes, it was just a constant that I chose.
Update: I ran the code on a larger dataset and received the warning messages
Chain 1: Rejecting initial value: Chain 1: Log probability evaluates to log(0), i.e. negative infinity.
I think I receive these warning messages because I chose parameter values that would ensure that the units failed within a reasonable amount of time. This means that some of the
u_cens values were blowing up.
I simulated more data using parameter values that do not have the above property and I was able to recover the true parameter values.
This time I think the warning messages
2: Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess 3: Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable.
are nothing serious, and should go away when I run the chain(s) for longer.
Update: Running the chain(s) for longer did remove these error messages.